Looking into 2026 and what can be ahead for US Housing Market
Introduction
As we are entering a new 2026 year, I would like to review what is going on in US housing market and what we might see in terms of prices this year.
Housing Market
As you already know mortgage rates are still relatively high, even as they are reaching some of the lower values in the low 6% that is close to a full percentage below the record highs of 2025 when during mid year the rates were above 6.8%
Still these rates are way above what we have gotten used to in the recent history where rates were between 2.5% and 4% for fixed 30-year mortgages. If you look at the chart above you will see that New ad Existing home sales have been hovering between 4.5 and five million units that is not that far off of the sales volume during the last great recession of 2008. There is definitely an effect from the high interest rates on the housing market. Who in their right mind will sell their house that has a 3% mortgage rate and move to a new home and have 6% interest rate?
What we can see from the first chart is that existing and new home sales have been stuck at recession levels due to the dynamic described above, but if we look at the second chart it represents what home values look like in Seattle area.
What we see is that between 2020 and some time in 2022 the prices almost doubled in two years and then they are down about twenty percent in the next three years or so. So homes were flat to twenty percent down in the last three years. Considering that housing is one of the biggest impacts on inflation and US economy it is really critical to get the homes moving in upward direction again if we want to see a big economic expansion.
That is probably the reason for this unprecedented video that I saw 23 hours ago coming from the official Federal Reserve YouTube channel. To be honest I initially thought it was some sort of fake AI video when I heard it. But, no this is real. The pressure and move to potentially criminally indict a head of Federal Reserve is a drastic move.
The chart above for the whole United States shows pretty much the same trends I see in Seattle housing market, there was a giant spike up to twenty five percent price appreciation right after COVID and by 2024 we entered into the negative appreciation territory which is where we are at this time as well.
November mid-term elections in US are rapidly closing in and in order to remain in power Republican party has to make sure that between now and November the existing dynamic in the housing market is reversed.
In addition to putting unprecedented pressure on the Federal Reserve Trump administration is directing federal agencies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy 200 Billion in mortgage backed securities to lower mortgage rates. This sounds like a QE from non Federal reserve source aimed specifically at a housing market.
Here is another interesting housing chart that shows the amount of homes for sale, as we can see there has been a dramatic rise in the inventory of new homes for sale. Builders have to carry these homes, last year they were trying to offload these homes by using rate buydowns effectively lowering the interest rates on new homes to 3% without lowering prices, but that was not enough and now they started to cut home prices as well. In their last report KB Home reported cutting prices by an average of 7%.
This price cutting will impact existing home prices as well as they are a direct competition this will lead to lower home prices in 2026 if mortgage rates are not brought down to historic levels such as the recent talk about artificially bringing down mortgage interest rates to 1%.
Conclusion
If we were not in the election year, I think the existing housing market conditions would result in about 5% drop in the housing market. But we are in the election year and the administration is doing everything to get the economy and housing market into an overdrive.
If we see 1% mortgage rates I would guess that would be equivalent to the post COVID run in the house prices which would result in a 25% appreciation or more. I don't think that buying mortgage backed securities will bring it down to 1% and definitely not with just 200 Billion, that will probably result in half a percent down and it will take a lot more than what was announced. I think it is possible to bring them down to 3 to 4% range by spending a couple trillion dollars on buying mortgage backed securities and that would probably result in a flat year and house prices going nowhere or be slightly up in the 3% to 9%.
"Who in their right mind will sell their house that has a 3% mortgage rate and move to a new home and have 6% interest rate?"
Absolutely correct my friend, you would have to have a very good incentive to sell your home, or a very good reason.... or location, with the new home!!😇
Yes or you sell a house that has enough equity to buy a new house without a loan. I would guess that it is not a very common situation...
Yes this would definitely be a very unique situation, a sale of a house for a new one without a loan, but I'm sure it happens!!👍😀
Hello everyone I hope you are all good and well today
I'm only really sharing this because of this racist weirdo on Hive who really thinks downvotes and word's do anything all I can do is laugh 😂 and share the truth and we all know when your lying the truth hurts
Some try to say that downvotes are good for Hive but what good had come out of downvoting good honest people away 🤔
You some stupid whales on Hive trying to get others to promote Hive like it's something good and offers freedom when we all know it doesn't offer no freedom unless you are part of the gang ⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕
Here's some screenshots you might find very Interesting I only work with facts not made up stuff 😂
Anyone can talk shit 💩 it means nothing when there's evidence that shows the truth 😁
@crimsonclad please do your job 🙏🏾
https://hive.blog/hive-135178/@crimsonclad/re-kgakakillerg-sxllhv
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📊 The Untrending Report - Hive Downvote Analysis - 2025-09-07
RE: Understanding Pointers in C Programming
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To all the downvoters on Hive When the downvotes stop 🛑 and my rep is back I stop sharing the truth 🙏🏾
You can call the truth spam as much as you like it changes nothing 😂
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I hope you all have a fantastic day today and remember be truthful 🙏🏾
If you want me to remove this comment just ask 😁
Hello everyone I hope you are all good and well today
I'm only really sharing this because of this racist weirdo on Hive who really thinks downvotes and word's do anything all I can do is laugh 😂 and share the truth and we all know when your lying the truth hurts
Some try to say that downvotes are good for Hive but what good had come out of downvoting good honest people away 🤔
You some stupid whales on Hive trying to get others to promote Hive like it's something good and offers freedom when we all know it doesn't offer no freedom unless you are part of the gang ⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕
Here's some screenshots you might find very Interesting I only work with facts not made up stuff 😂
Anyone can talk shit 💩 it means nothing when there's evidence that shows the truth 😁
@crimsonclad please do your job 🙏🏾
https://hive.blog/hive-135178/@crimsonclad/re-kgakakillerg-sxllhv
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svftu9
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svdjjz
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https://hive.blog/hive/@steevc/follow-friday-respect
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It's unbelievable that they downvoted this Goodbye Auntie R.I.P 🙏🏾
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Stop farming Hive https://hive.blog/burnpost/@buildawhale/re-1756307402814502169-20250827t151240z
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📊 The Untrending Report - Hive Downvote Analysis - 2025-09-07
RE: Understanding Pointers in C Programming
Please Peakd, allow me to completely block spammers (Would you ever vote for this?) thanks for exposing yourself more @makerhacks
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To all the downvoters on Hive When the downvotes stop 🛑 and my rep is back I stop sharing the truth 🙏🏾
You can call the truth spam as much as you like it changes nothing 😂
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☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾
I hope you all have a fantastic day today and remember be truthful 🙏🏾
If you want me to remove this comment just ask 😁
The problem here is not the mortgage rate, but house prices are crazy insane... A single house, not apartment, costs at least 350k€, a shitty one i mean
In US it is all about mortgage rates... People are buying houses based on the monthly payment...
Hello everyone I hope you are all good and well today
I'm only really sharing this because of this racist weirdo on Hive who really thinks downvotes and word's do anything all I can do is laugh 😂 and share the truth and we all know when your lying the truth hurts
Some try to say that downvotes are good for Hive but what good had come out of downvoting good honest people away 🤔
You some stupid whales on Hive trying to get others to promote Hive like it's something good and offers freedom when we all know it doesn't offer no freedom unless you are part of the gang ⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕
Here's some screenshots you might find very Interesting I only work with facts not made up stuff 😂
Anyone can talk shit 💩 it means nothing when there's evidence that shows the truth 😁
@crimsonclad please do your job 🙏🏾
https://hive.blog/hive-135178/@crimsonclad/re-kgakakillerg-sxllhv
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svftu9
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svdjjz
https://hive.blog/hive-176853/@steevc/re-kgakakillerg-syyy4x
https://hive.blog/dev/@howo/re-kgakakillerg-szhax7
https://hive.blog/hive/@steevc/follow-friday-respect
https://hive.blog/hive-127022/@shmoogleosukami/re-kgakakillerg-t0hcxc
It's unbelievable that they downvoted this Goodbye Auntie R.I.P 🙏🏾
Comments being downvoted by blocktrades https://hive.blog/hive-170744/@kgakakillerg/t0ns3b
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@steevc/re-blocktrades-t0kint
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https://hive.blog/hive/@ureka.stats/the-untrending-report-hive-downvote-analysis-2025-06-29-20250629143829
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@kgakakillerg/t0m1vn
https://hive.blog/hive-108278/@kgakakillerg/t0rfo8
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@kgakakillerg/t0vcl7
Stop farming Hive https://hive.blog/burnpost/@buildawhale/re-1756307402814502169-20250827t151240z
😂😂😂😂😂
📊 The Untrending Report - Hive Downvote Analysis - 2025-09-07
RE: Understanding Pointers in C Programming
Please Peakd, allow me to completely block spammers (Would you ever vote for this?) thanks for exposing yourself more @makerhacks
Please go through it all instead of calling it spam 😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
https://blurt.blog/hive/@candy49/5slvnx-taskmaster4450-is-being-downvoted-on-hive-by-you-know-who
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https://hive.blog/music/@geneeverett33/11-25-25-three-tune-tuesday-picking-tunes-from-the-punk-band-the-descendents-1982-1997-era
🚨🚨🚨🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨
https://hive.blog/dmania/@steemcleaners/ps46kb
https://hive.blog/hive-124838/@fjworld/re-peaksnaps-t7161i
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https://blurt.blog/blurt-131902/@condividisulweb/3w94e8-hive-manipulation-censorship-and-suspicious-funds-the-hidden-truth
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https://hive.blog/hive/@kgakakillerg/i-ve-been-put-on-two-blacklists
To all the downvoters on Hive When the downvotes stop 🛑 and my rep is back I stop sharing the truth 🙏🏾
You can call the truth spam as much as you like it changes nothing 😂
If want to speak to me in private send me a message on Instagram @kgakakillerg and we can speak on blurt @kgakakillerg 😁
☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾
I hope you all have a fantastic day today and remember be truthful 🙏🏾
If you want me to remove this comment just ask 😁
Hello everyone I hope you are all good and well today
I'm only really sharing this because of this racist weirdo on Hive who really thinks downvotes and word's do anything all I can do is laugh 😂 and share the truth and we all know when your lying the truth hurts
Some try to say that downvotes are good for Hive but what good had come out of downvoting good honest people away 🤔
You some stupid whales on Hive trying to get others to promote Hive like it's something good and offers freedom when we all know it doesn't offer no freedom unless you are part of the gang ⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕
Here's some screenshots you might find very Interesting I only work with facts not made up stuff 😂
Anyone can talk shit 💩 it means nothing when there's evidence that shows the truth 😁
@crimsonclad please do your job 🙏🏾
https://hive.blog/hive-135178/@crimsonclad/re-kgakakillerg-sxllhv
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svftu9
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svdjjz
https://hive.blog/hive-176853/@steevc/re-kgakakillerg-syyy4x
https://hive.blog/dev/@howo/re-kgakakillerg-szhax7
https://hive.blog/hive/@steevc/follow-friday-respect
https://hive.blog/hive-127022/@shmoogleosukami/re-kgakakillerg-t0hcxc
It's unbelievable that they downvoted this Goodbye Auntie R.I.P 🙏🏾
Comments being downvoted by blocktrades https://hive.blog/hive-170744/@kgakakillerg/t0ns3b
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@steevc/re-blocktrades-t0kint
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@blocktrades/t0lq41
https://hive.blog/hive/@ureka.stats/the-untrending-report-hive-downvote-analysis-2025-06-29-20250629143829
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@kgakakillerg/t0m1vn
https://hive.blog/hive-108278/@kgakakillerg/t0rfo8
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@kgakakillerg/t0vcl7
Stop farming Hive https://hive.blog/burnpost/@buildawhale/re-1756307402814502169-20250827t151240z
😂😂😂😂😂
📊 The Untrending Report - Hive Downvote Analysis - 2025-09-07
RE: Understanding Pointers in C Programming
Please Peakd, allow me to completely block spammers (Would you ever vote for this?) thanks for exposing yourself more @makerhacks
Please go through it all instead of calling it spam 😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
https://blurt.blog/hive/@candy49/5slvnx-taskmaster4450-is-being-downvoted-on-hive-by-you-know-who
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https://hive.blog/music/@geneeverett33/11-25-25-three-tune-tuesday-picking-tunes-from-the-punk-band-the-descendents-1982-1997-era
🚨🚨🚨🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨
https://hive.blog/dmania/@steemcleaners/ps46kb
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🚨🚨🚨🚨🙄🙄🙄🙄🚨🚨🚨
https://hive.blog/hive/@kgakakillerg/i-ve-been-put-on-two-blacklists
To all the downvoters on Hive When the downvotes stop 🛑 and my rep is back I stop sharing the truth 🙏🏾
You can call the truth spam as much as you like it changes nothing 😂
If want to speak to me in private send me a message on Instagram @kgakakillerg and we can speak on blurt @kgakakillerg 😁
☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾
I hope you all have a fantastic day today and remember be truthful 🙏🏾
If you want me to remove this comment just ask 😁
It's pretty crazy even where we live to see that the demand is not where it was during the Covid days for houses, but the prices just don't seem to be coming down at all. Where houses used to sit on the market for a day before they were snatch up, now they are sitting out there for months. I don't know if that is people not being willing to lower their price because they remember the past market or if it is the real estate landscape over all.
I think it is a combination of factors. Number one is that people know that they will have to borrow at much higher interest rates if they sell their home and buy a new one so incentive to lower prices is not very high. Second is the fact that you cannot lower the price too much as there are plenty of costs to sell and depending on the equity you built up you might walk away with almost nothing. And third like you said people are still remembering the 2022 when you could name your price and there would be a bidding war for it...
Yeah, sounds about right. It makes me wonder how long we will end up being stuck in our current house. It isn't horrible and we love the location, but we know it's not the place we want to live in long term.
Hello everyone I hope you are all good and well today
I'm only really sharing this because of this racist weirdo on Hive who really thinks downvotes and word's do anything all I can do is laugh 😂 and share the truth and we all know when your lying the truth hurts
Some try to say that downvotes are good for Hive but what good had come out of downvoting good honest people away 🤔
You some stupid whales on Hive trying to get others to promote Hive like it's something good and offers freedom when we all know it doesn't offer no freedom unless you are part of the gang ⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕
Here's some screenshots you might find very Interesting I only work with facts not made up stuff 😂
Anyone can talk shit 💩 it means nothing when there's evidence that shows the truth 😁
@crimsonclad please do your job 🙏🏾
https://hive.blog/hive-135178/@crimsonclad/re-kgakakillerg-sxllhv
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svftu9
https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svdjjz
https://hive.blog/hive-176853/@steevc/re-kgakakillerg-syyy4x
https://hive.blog/dev/@howo/re-kgakakillerg-szhax7
https://hive.blog/hive/@steevc/follow-friday-respect
https://hive.blog/hive-127022/@shmoogleosukami/re-kgakakillerg-t0hcxc
It's unbelievable that they downvoted this Goodbye Auntie R.I.P 🙏🏾
Comments being downvoted by blocktrades https://hive.blog/hive-170744/@kgakakillerg/t0ns3b
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@steevc/re-blocktrades-t0kint
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https://hive.blog/hive/@ureka.stats/the-untrending-report-hive-downvote-analysis-2025-06-29-20250629143829
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https://hive.blog/hive-108278/@kgakakillerg/t0rfo8
https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@kgakakillerg/t0vcl7
Stop farming Hive https://hive.blog/burnpost/@buildawhale/re-1756307402814502169-20250827t151240z
😂😂😂😂😂
📊 The Untrending Report - Hive Downvote Analysis - 2025-09-07
RE: Understanding Pointers in C Programming
Please Peakd, allow me to completely block spammers (Would you ever vote for this?) thanks for exposing yourself more @makerhacks
Please go through it all instead of calling it spam 😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
https://blurt.blog/hive/@candy49/5slvnx-taskmaster4450-is-being-downvoted-on-hive-by-you-know-who
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https://hive.blog/hive-108278/@kgakakillerg/themarkymark
https://hive.blog/hive-178138/@thefed/t6q9kb 🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄
https://hive.blog/music/@geneeverett33/11-25-25-three-tune-tuesday-picking-tunes-from-the-punk-band-the-descendents-1982-1997-era
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https://hive.blog/dmania/@steemcleaners/ps46kb
https://hive.blog/hive-124838/@fjworld/re-peaksnaps-t7161i
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https://blurt.blog/blurt-131902/@condividisulweb/3w94e8-hive-manipulation-censorship-and-suspicious-funds-the-hidden-truth
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https://hive.blog/hive/@kgakakillerg/i-ve-been-put-on-two-blacklists
To all the downvoters on Hive When the downvotes stop 🛑 and my rep is back I stop sharing the truth 🙏🏾
You can call the truth spam as much as you like it changes nothing 😂
If want to speak to me in private send me a message on Instagram @kgakakillerg and we can speak on blurt @kgakakillerg 😁
☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾
I hope you all have a fantastic day today and remember be truthful 🙏🏾
If you want me to remove this comment just ask 😁