Mixed Signals

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Bitcoin has had extremely lack-luster price action over the past two weeks, and it's been beyond annoying I must say. I guess that's what you get when a bunch of riots and social unrest breaks out, your country wages war against the middle east for the thousandth time, and the global economy continues to look like hammered dogshit. Within that context $100k BTC is looking pretty awesome, but obviously we'd all like to see much much higher.

My orange circle wrapped around the last full moon seemed to play its part quite well. For the most part the price almost seemed to perfectly wrap itself around the circle. A quick long at the first $100k would have made a pretty sweet gain if cashed out 4 days later, but I certainly wouldn't have anticipated only 4 days of green before crapping out. Now we've made a full return and my long is back to breakeven, which again is pretty annoying but whatever. I honestly want to close it at this point but will keep it open until July just as a matter of discipline. Sticking to the plan is difficult and I want to make a habit of following through with my plans.

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I hear that during the LA riots over ICE coming in and scooping up undocumented folks that a bunch of Waymos were set ablaze... which is kind of weird because apparently people in LA like the Waymos and they are pretty convenient robo-taxis.

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So why burn them?

It all comes down to the surveillance state.

In April, 404 Media revealed that the LAPD was publishing crime footage it got from a Waymo driverless car in an effort to identify a suspect. As 404 reported, “The proliferation of Waymo cars also means the proliferation of roving surveillance cameras.

Another war on data?

Even the mob seems to be waking up to the fact that the control grid around them has been stacked against their favor. It's a complete invasion of privacy to use camera footage from a robo-taxi, even if the objective is to prosecute a crime. This is wildly inappropriate behavior that is all-too-often justified by the police state as "a matter of safety".

Yes, that is always the excuse. Give up all your freedoms and right to privacy because "safety". Very cool. Wouldn't be a problem if this power was never abused, but it always is every time without fail, as history has shown without exception.

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Gas prices going up?

Petrol has been uncharacteristically cheap this summer and hasn't really increased in price at all which is highly unusual. Gas is cheap in the winter and expensive in the summer; that's just how it is. Supply and demand.

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Of course starting another war in the middle east and having them refuse to deliver their black gold across the globe is potentially a problem that will lower supply and increase prices. A lot of people seem to be getting tired of the military industrial complex bending over backwards and being the bitch of the terrorist nation state of Israel. Of course the USA is also the ultimate terrorist nation state itself so it's a match made in hell. They've had plans to take over Iran since I was in middle school. Can we just allow a cleaner form of energy to takeover and be done with this? Big Oil says no. The war machine lumbers forward like the gigantic oaf it is.

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Looking back and TA land...

Something happened today that I've never seen in the last 8 years. We get a death-cross today on the short timeframes 25/50 days... but a golden-cross on the longer 100/200 day timeframes. Current market value is in the middle of both crosses. That's a pretty wild mixed signal.

Luckily any price above $100k is wildly bullish and chips away at the liquidity void while allowing non-believers to sell their bags to Saylor and Blackrock day by day. $96k is now a rock solid place to buy the dip as the crux of the golden cross on top of a trendline that goes back to the beginning of the year.

Conclusion

The world is a complete shit-show right now and the economy is not amused.

Posted Using INLEO



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23 comments
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I think your conclusion is the best way to put it. I'm just about completely fed up with all of this. I was really hoping to see some life changing wealth this year, but it would appear that isn't going to be very likely.

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The face of war and social struggles is macabre and sad.
Is it so difficult to reach an understanding, a middle point where, obviously both parties must give up something in the name of peace, but a peaceful agreement is reached?
The irony is that those who sign welcoming wars sitting behind a presidential bureau will not be the ones who will go to combat. They will not die on the battlefield to which they so deliberately send others.

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Doing better than the S&P, though under the same pressures.

Screenshot 2025-06-23 121244.png

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The world is a complete shit-show right now and the economy is not amused.

Man, you said it. I've been mostly offline thanks to life stuff being just utterly chaotic so I'm definitely not keeping up on everything going on... but the US/Iran/Isreal shit is really kicking us deep into "if things don't improve they'll count this as the start of ww3 when writing the history books". Hopefully reasonable minds prevail and we get a bit of damned stability soon.

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The current events in the world has drastic effect on the economy

!BBH

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It's a complete invasion of privacy to use camera footage from a robo-taxi, even if the objective is to prosecute a crime.

I wouldn't say so, it depends what the camera footage is recording. If it is a footage of inside the cabin then that is an invasion of privacy, if it is a footage of outside then it isn't an invasion of privacy since outside is public.

In other news, Hive is recovering BTC wise but it still is below 200 sats.

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In the US the Supreme Court decided in 2018 (Carpenter v. United States) that people have a reasonable expectation of privacy even out in public. It relates to the Fourth Amendment and specifically states that people have a right to privacy against the government even while out in public. We should not be recorded whenever we step outside our homes, that is an invasion of privacy... one that the Plantir government contracts are probably totally going to break.

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In the US the Supreme Court decided in 2018 (Carpenter v. United States) that people have a reasonable expectation of privacy even out in public.

This is not true at all. Carpenter v United States only decided that accessing CLSI data without a search warrant was unconstitutional. And it re-iterated that this only applies to CLSI data.

This decision is narrow. It does not express a view on matters
not before the Court; does not disturb the application of Smith and
Miller or call into question conventional surveillance techniques and
tools, such as security cameras; does not address other business records that might incidentally reveal location information; and does not
consider other collection techniques involving foreign affairs or national security. Pp. 17–18.

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Hmmm, sorry about that... looks like I completely misunderstood that case. Is there truly no right to privacy in public in the US? You can just be recorded by anyone as soon as you step off private property? That's super not cool.

It looks like Californians have rights to not be recorded without permission for commercial use, otherwise they're fair game.

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Of course, states have their own laws regarding that.

My understanding is that if a person can see what you are doing in public then a camera also should be able to see what you are doing. If a person can see what you are doing in public then it is a reasonable expectation that you do not have privacy in that manner.

Could that be changed? Probably. For example, it is illegal to record people in public in France.

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time to buy a bicycle muh dudes... Gas is gonna get too expensive, and we need the workout anyways.

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Hey @edicted, if you're a bit busy with daily life right now, would you consider delegating your HP to me for a few days? I’m looking to boost some HP power on my account. Feel free to reach out on Instagram — @belalh82.

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Feels like we’re all just watching chaos unfold and trying to stay hopeful. Kinda wild that even robot cars are becoming tools for control. Can we please just skip to the part where clean energy wins and people actually get freedom?

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Crypto will have to fight because there are more bad news than good ones these days

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(Edited)

Honestly, I think it was pretty smart to set the Waymos on fire.... if protestors can convince surveillance vehicles to keep away during protests, there is a lot less footage for authoritarian dictatorships to arrest protestors weeks or months after a protest they suddenly deem 'unlawful'. There's already way too many cameras, ring doorbells and dash cams without adding vehicles with cameras at every angle to the mix. We know Trump's Admin is happy to break the law to kidnap people they shouldn't and detain them for unknown amounts of time without an arrest.

Honestly though, I'm surprised the economy is doing as well as it is... with unknown tariff fun, war, potential oil shortages and protests, the S&P 500 is still way higher than I ever would have expected.

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I have to walk by an apartment with a doorbell camera just to leave or enter my apartment and I've considered destroying it on multiple occasions.

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I hate it when I'm walking with a spray paint can and it accidentally goes off.

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The world was totally not in situation right now, but I hope it will be past.

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Hello edicted!

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